Financial Economics · Macroeconomics · Development · International

Research

Independent research in financial economics, macroeconomics, development economics, and international economics — combining academic rigor with real-world financial and policy relevance.

Led by Dr. Megersa Daksa, The AI Chief Economist produces high-quality research spanning academic inquiry, applied financial analysis, and policy-relevant studies. The work integrates theoretical rigor with practical insight, drawing from real-world financial systems, markets, and economic dynamics. Research is conducted both independently and collaboratively, with advisory support available for proposals, analytical projects, and professional write-ups.

ProblemModel & DataResultsDecision Use

Applied Research Domains

Research Focus Areas

All projects are anchored to specific economic and financial problems with defined analytical methods and real-world decision use.

Financial Economics

  • Financial markets & asset pricing
  • Credit risk & banking systems
  • Risk and insurance analysis
  • Investment & portfolio analysis
  • Real-world financial decision-making

Macroeconomics

  • Macroeconomic dynamics & cycles
  • Policy-relevant economic analysis
  • Inflation, growth & employment
  • Monetary & fiscal policy effects
  • Stress testing & scenario analysis

Development Economics

  • Financial inclusion & access
  • Economic growth determinants
  • Institutional & structural analysis
  • Poverty, inequality & welfare
  • Development finance systems

International Economics

  • Global economic & financial systems
  • Trade, capital flows & FX dynamics
  • Sovereign risk & emerging markets
  • Cross-border financial integration
  • International monetary systems

Open Now

Open Applied Research Opportunities

We are currently seeking collaborators for the following applied research projects. Each project has a defined problem, deliverable, and decision use.

Data-Driven Machine Learning Models for Credit Risk Early Warning

Project-Based or Sponsored

Problem

How can alternative data and machine learning improve early detection of borrower default risk across changing macroeconomic conditions?

Output

Applied research brief + ML-based credit risk early-warning framework

Decision Use

Improves credit monitoring, risk-based pricing, and portfolio loss mitigation decisions

Apply: Credit Risk Early Warning

Scenario-Based Stress Testing for Consumer Credit Portfolios

Project-Based or Affiliate

Problem

How do recession, unemployment, and inflation shock scenarios propagate through portfolio-level default, delinquency, and loss rates?

Output

Applied report + macro-scenario credit stress-testing model

Decision Use

Supports capital planning, provisioning strategy, and portfolio risk limit decisions

Apply: Consumer Credit Stress Testing

Cross-Asset Volatility and Portfolio Risk Exposure

Project-Based

Problem

How does cross-asset volatility correlation affect optimal risk allocation across equities, fixed income, and alternatives?

Output

Working paper + risk decomposition model

Decision Use

Improves portfolio construction and capital allocation under uncertainty

Apply: Cross-Asset Volatility Project

Research Subscription

Chief Brief: Weekly Economics & Finance Intelligence

A structured weekly intelligence brief translating markets, macro conditions, risk signals, and applied research into decision-ready insight.

Saturday Morning Delivery
01

Weekly Market Recap

Equity market summary, sector rotation, and key price action — contextualised within current macro conditions.

02

Macro & Rates Summary

Central bank signals, yield curve dynamics, inflation readings, and their implications for risk assets.

03

Risk Outlook

Systematic review of geopolitical, credit, and liquidity risk vectors with structured severity rankings.

04

Cross-Asset Volatility Insight

Volatility regimes across equities, rates, commodities, and FX — with cross-asset correlation signals.

05

Applied Research Note

A concise analytical piece connecting live market data to academic findings or institutional research methods.

06

Forward Watchlist

Key data releases, central bank meetings, earnings, and macro events to monitor in the week ahead.

Latest Chief Brief Previews

Research Outputs
Weekly IntelligenceNEW

Chief Brief Issue CB-2026-W20

Rate repricing, equity breadth deterioration, and emerging market credit spread stress in one institutional briefing.

Subscribers only
Macro & RatesWEEKLY

Chief Brief Issue CB-2026-W19

Macro and rates divergence across US and Europe, with forward volatility implications for cross-asset portfolios.

Subscribers only
InstitutionalINSTITUTIONAL

Chief Brief Institutional Edition

Extended risk matrix with policy sensitivity scenarios and institutional portfolio watchlist updates.

Subscribers only

Structured Applied Research

Research Collaboration Model

We collaborate with researchers through structured applied research projects — not open-ended arrangements. Every engagement follows a single workflow with clear IP ownership and defined compensation.

All IP belongs to The AI Chief Economist LLCProject-based only — no open-ended workApplied workflow: Problem → Model → Result → Decision Use

Applied Research Affiliate

Suggest ideas, join projects, and build long-term network presence under the LLC.

Who

PhD students, researchers, analysts

Co-authorship · Visibility · Future paid opportunities

Project-Based Collaborator

Who

Researchers and analysts with delivery track record

Sponsored Research Team

Support paid client research under the AI Chief Economist as lead authority.

Who

Senior researchers and subject-matter experts

Collaborator 20–40% · Lead 60–80%

Research Intern

Assist on projects, build small outputs, and progress toward affiliate status.

Who

Students and early-career researchers

Certificate · Experience · Path to Affiliate

Standard Workflow — All Types

1Application
2Screening
3Assignment
4Agreement
5Execution
6Review
7Publication
8Monetization
Upgrade Path
Intern
Affiliate
Paid Collaborator
Lead Collaborator

Ongoing Research

Current applied research streams in progress — each anchored to a defined problem and decision use.

Cross-Asset Volatility and Portfolio Risk Exposure

Problem

How does cross-asset volatility correlation affect optimal risk allocation across equities, fixed income, and alternatives?

Decision Use

Portfolio construction and capital allocation under uncertainty

In Progress

Financial Market Outcomes and Investment Strategy

Problem

What structural factors drive divergence in financial market outcomes across asset classes and geographies?

Decision Use

Informs risk-adjusted investment strategy and factor allocation

In Progress

Output Pipeline

Publication Pathway

Selected applied research projects may evolve into formal publications. Applied work feeds a structured output pipeline.

1

Concept Note

Problem scoped, research question defined, methodology outlined

2

Applied Brief

Structured problem-output document from a live project

3

Working Paper

Formalized analysis with methodology, model, and findings

4

Full Manuscript

Peer-ready paper with literature, model, results, and implications

5

Journal Submission

Submitted to a peer-reviewed academic or professional journal

6

Published Article

Accepted and published in a peer-reviewed journal or proceedings

Chief Brief

Join the Research List

Receive the Chief Brief every Saturday morning — structured market intelligence direct to your inbox.

No spam. Unsubscribe any time. Saturday delivery only.

Apply to Collaborate

Join the Research Network

Select your collaboration track and tell us about your background. We screen every profile and match you to the right project.

Follow research updates on Facebook and LinkedIn.

Already have an account?
·

Dr. Megersa Daksa

PhD in Applied Economics  ·  Founder, The AI Chief Economist

Dr. Megersa Daksa is an economist and financial analyst specializing in financial economics, macroeconomic dynamics, and applied analytical research. His work focuses on bridging rigorous academic frameworks with real-world financial systems, delivering insights that are both theoretically grounded and practically relevant.